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UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Oct 2024
Middleweight
VS
48%
Magomedov
52%
Ferreira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:14
Abus
Abus Magomedov
29 – 7
6'2"78" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 56
Brunno
Brunno Ferreira
"The Hulk"
15 – 3
Well-Rounded3-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 61
★ Official Result
Abus MagomedovwinsSubmissionR3 · 3:14
def. Brunno Ferreira · UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ferreira
→
Actual result
Magomedov wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Magomedov at 48% vs Ferreira at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Magomedov's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ferreira has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MagomedovFerreira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Magomedov
Ferreira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
78"+
Reach
72"
36
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magomedov
Ferreira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.8
61.4
53.0
Performance Avg
52.7
44
Quality of Victory
51
63
Momentum Score
91
Magomedov
Ferreira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
7.5
4.0
Style: Volume
2.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
1
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance6
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Magomedov
Ferreira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
3.1
/ 10
3.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Magomedov
Ferreira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
40
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/36 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Magomedov
Ferreira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
91
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Magomedov
Ferreira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
83%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Magomedov
Ferreira
Striking3.0 / 6.1Volume4.0 / 2.4Grappling4.8 / 3.1Wrestling3.4 / 2.1Submission5.0 / 3.3Pressure6.7 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.1
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
Magomedov
Strike Zones
Ferreira
Magomedov
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Ferreira
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Magomedov targets the head (75% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Ferreira targets the head (57% of attacks) — Magomedov absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Magomedov
RND
Ferreira
0/0R00/0

Magomedov · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Cam Rowston
Submission
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Sub · R1
Michal Oleksiejczuk
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Sub · R2
Joe Pyfer
Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Michel Pereira
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Sub · R3
Brunno Ferreira
Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10

Ferreira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Edmen Shahbazyan
Decision
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Ikram Aliskerov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · KO · R1
Gregory Rodrigues
KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Marvin Vettori
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R1
Jackson McVey
Submission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07

News & Media

Abus Magomedov · Brunno Ferreira
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