METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
Las Vegas, USA
1 Oct 2022
Catch Weight
VS
41%
Stoliarenko
59%
Chandler
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:15
★ Official Result
Chelsea ChandlerwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:15
def. Julija Stoliarenko · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chandler
→
Actual result
Chandler wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Stoliarenko at 41% vs Chandler at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Stoliarenko's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StoliarenkoChandler
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Stoliarenko
Chandler
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+68"
33+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Stoliarenko
Chandler
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.9
61.4
41.3
Performance Avg
51.8
54
Quality of Victory
48
20
Momentum Score
85
Stoliarenko
Chandler
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
7.7
Style: Pressure
7.0
0.4
Style: Volume
3.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
34
3
Body
4
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance17
0Clinch0
0Ground21
Stoliarenko
Chandler
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stoliarenko
Chandler
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/11 fights
Stoliarenko
Chandler
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
85
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Stoliarenko
Chandler
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stoliarenko
Chandler
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
0.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
StoliarenkoChandler
Strike Zones
Stoliarenko
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedChandler
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stoliarenko targets the head (42% of attacks) — Chandler absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Chandler targets the head (89% of attacks) — Stoliarenko absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stoliarenko
RND
Chandler
0/0R00/0
Stoliarenko · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gabriella FernandesDecision
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L · KO · R3
Luana CarolinaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Sub · R1
Molly McCannSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Chelsea ChandlerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jessica-Rose ClarkSubmission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
Chandler · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Melissa CrodenSubmission
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W · Sub · R1
Priscila CachoeiraSubmission
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L · KO · R1
Joselyne EdwardsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Josiane NunesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03