METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
Las Vegas, USA
4 Apr 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
64%
Yakhyaev
36%
Ribeiro
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:52
★ Official Result
Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:52
def. Brendson Ribeiro · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Yakhyaev
→
Actual result
Yakhyaev wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Yakhyaev holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Ribeiro has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Yakhyaev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Ribeiro has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
YakhyaevRibeiro
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Yakhyaev
Ribeiro
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
78"
Reach
+81"
25+
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Yakhyaev
Ribeiro
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
81.5
45.5
74.2
Performance Avg
39.0
57
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
69
Yakhyaev
Ribeiro
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.0
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
10.0
Style: Pressure
5.7
2.0
Style: Volume
3.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
5
1
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance8
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Yakhyaev
Ribeiro
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Yakhyaev
Ribeiro
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
18
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/10 fights
Chin rating based on
9/28 fights
Yakhyaev
Ribeiro
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
69
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Yakhyaev
Ribeiro
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yakhyaev
Ribeiro
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
YakhyaevRibeiro
Strike Zones
Yakhyaev
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedRibeiro
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yakhyaev targets the head (86% of attacks) — Ribeiro absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Ribeiro targets the head (63% of attacks) — Yakhyaev absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yakhyaev
RND
Ribeiro
0/0R00/0
Yakhyaev · Last 4
W · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovKO/TKO
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · KO · R1
Julius WalkerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Brendson RibeiroSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Rafael CerqueiraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
Ribeiro · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Felipe FrancoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10
L · Dec · R3
Magomed TuchalovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · Sub · R1
Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Oumar SyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
L · KO · R1
Azamat MurzakanovKO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06

