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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan
Las Vegas, USA
10 Oct 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
53%
Franco
47%
Ribeiro
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:49
Felipe
Felipe Franco
11 – 2
6'1"76" reachOrthodox25 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 52
Brendson
Brendson Ribeiro
"The Gorilla"
17 – 11
Well-Rounded30 yrsOrthodox81" reach6'3"
CFR 46
★ Official Result
Brendson RibeirowinsSubmissionR1 · 1:49
def. Felipe Franco · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Franco
Franco by KO/TKO in round one — Ribeiro's reach buys him a couple of minutes, no…
→
Actual result
Ribeiro wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

A 25-year-old who scores a perfect ten for striking against a grappler whose chin rating has fallen to 18 after two first-round knockout losses.

Brendson Ribeiro has lost four in a row, and the manner of them is more alarming than the count. Azamat Murzakanov knocked him out in the first round in June 2025. Oumar Sy knocked him out in the first round in September. Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev submitted him at 2:52 of the first in April. Magomed Tuchalov then took a decision off him in July. His chin rating reads 18.0, and the way he has been los…

Franco intel

Franco (10-2) is 25 with two recorded UFC fights: a second-round knockout of Levi Rodrigues Jr. in July and a decision loss to Mario Pinto in March, the latter at heavyweight. His chin rating is 98.0 and his finish rate 1.00, but a two-fight sample is thin ground for a 61.3 composite, and his grappling, wrestling and submission all read 0.0.

Ribeiro intel

Ribeiro (17-10) is 30 and has lost four straight — Tuchalov on the cards in July, Yakhyaev by first-round submission in April, and first-round knockouts to Oumar Sy and Azamat Murzakanov before those. His 18.0 chin rating is the second-lowest on the card. His 205.7cm reach and 5.00 submission score are the assets he still has.

Key angles

Ribeiro's 18.0 chin rating against a 10.0 striking score and 8.5 pressure

A 12.7cm reach advantage for Ribeiro — 205.7cm to 193.0cm — and whether he can fight behind it

Franco's 0.0 across grappling, wrestling and submission versus Ribeiro's 5.20 and 5.00

Two recorded UFC fights for Franco, one of them at heavyweight: how much does the 61.3 composite actually mean?

Franco's 1.00 volume score — if he cannot finish early he has never shown what he does next

Risk flags

Franco's sample is two fights and one of them a loss; the 61.3 composite could be a mirage built on a single knockout

If Ribeiro gets this to the mat his 5.00 submission score is the highest in the bout and Franco has no measured defence to it

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
FrancoRibeiro
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Franco
Ribeiro
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
+81"
25+
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Franco
Ribeiro
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.8
45.5
46.3
Performance Avg
39.0
55
Quality of Victory
43
35
Momentum Score
69
Franco
Ribeiro
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
5.7
0.7
Style: Volume
3.3
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
0
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Franco
Ribeiro
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Franco
Ribeiro
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
18
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/13 fights
Chin rating based on
9/28 fights
Franco
Ribeiro
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
69
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Franco
Ribeiro
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Franco
Ribeiro
Striking10.0 / 0.7Volume0.7 / 3.3Grappling0.0 / 6.1Wrestling0.0 / 4.3Submission0.0 / 6.7Pressure8.0 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Franco
Strike Zones
Ribeiro
Franco
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Ribeiro
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Franco targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ribeiro absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Ribeiro targets the head (50% of attacks) — Franco absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Franco
RND
Ribeiro
0/0R00/0

Franco · Last 3

L · Sub · R1
Brendson Ribeiro
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10
W · KO · R2
Levi Rodrigues Jr.
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Mario Pinto
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03

Ribeiro · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Felipe Franco
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10
L · Dec · R3
Magomed Tuchalov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · Sub · R1
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Oumar Sy
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
L · KO · R1
Azamat Murzakanov
KO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06

News & Media

Felipe Franco · Brendson Ribeiro
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