METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales
Las Vegas, USA
17 May 2025
Lightweight
VS
51%
Green
49%
Camilo
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:43
★ Official Result
Gabe GreenwinsSubmissionR2 · 3:43
def. Matheus Camilo · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Green
→
Actual result
Green wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Green at 51% vs Camilo at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GreenCamilo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Green
Camilo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
69"
33
Age
+25
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Green
Camilo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.8
50.2
45.9
Performance Avg
45.5
43
Quality of Victory
43
59
Momentum Score
53
Green
Camilo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
6.2
Style: Pressure
5.0
3.7
Style: Volume
5.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Green
Camilo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Green
Camilo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/17 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Green
Camilo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
53
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Green
Camilo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Green
Camilo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
GreenCamilo
Strike Zones
Green
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedCamilo
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Green targets the head (60% of attacks) — Camilo absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Camilo targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Green absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Green
RND
Camilo
0/0R00/0
Green · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Matheus CamiloSubmission
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L · KO · R1
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Yohan LainesseKO/TKO
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UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
Camilo · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Jai HerbertDecision
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Gabe GreenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05