METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
The hardest single-shot puncher in the division against a former two-weight KSW champion who has fought once since 2023 — and the database has never seen him.
Be straight about the limits here. Roberto Soldic has never fought in the UFC, so the database holds no composite rating, no chin rating, no style scores and no round-by-round striking data for him at all. Everything below about the Croatian comes from outside the model. That is a real gap, and it is why the confidence on this pick is low rather than medium. What is on the record is that Soldic i…
Williams (16-5) has fought once since June 2025 — a first-round knockout of Nikolay Veretennikov in May 2026. His 8.42 striking score and 71.4% finish rate are both card-leading, but his 0.69 grappling and 0.48 wrestling are card-worst, and Gabriel Bonfim submitted him in round two in February 2025.
Soldic (21-4) is a UFC debutant with no entry in this database — no composite, chin, momentum or style ratings exist for him. Outside the model: former simultaneous KSW welterweight and middleweight champion, eighteen knockout wins in twenty-five fights, the last man to knock out Dricus du Plessis, and a first-round KO of Dagi Arslanaliev at ONE 171 on 20 February 2025 — his only fight since a 2023 loss to Zebaztian Kadestam. Southpaw, 180cm, 188cm reach.
Soldic has no data in the model at all — every rating on his side of this fight is absent, not low
Nineteen months since Soldic's last fight, and one appearance since 2023
Williams' 0.69 grappling and 0.48 wrestling — the softest ground game on the card
A seven-and-a-half-centimetre reach edge for Williams at 195.6cm
Both men finish at extreme rates: 71.4% for Williams, 85% for Soldic
The pick rests on inactivity rather than measured ability, because Soldic's measured ability does not exist in this database yet
If Soldic takes it to the floor, Williams has already shown — against Bonfim — that he has very little to offer there
Two one-punch finishers means the fight can be decided before any of the above becomes relevant
This Fight — Statistics
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown