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UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland
Orlando, USA
3 Dec 2022
Welterweight
VS
50%
Thompson
50%
Holland
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 4 Β· 5:00
Stephen
Stephen Thompson
"Wonderboy"
17 – 9
6'0"75" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 46
Kevin
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
29 – 15
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox81" reach6'3"
CFR 47
β˜… Official Result
Stephen ThompsonwinsKO/TKOR4 Β· 5:00
def. Kevin Holland Β· UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Thompson
β†’
Actual result
Thompson wins
KO/TKO Β· R4
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Thompson at 50% vs Holland at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Thompson's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Holland has a chin rating of 6 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ThompsonHolland
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Thompson
Holland
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+81"
43
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thompson
Holland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.3
47.0
48.9
Performance Avg
49.3
43
Quality of Victory
44
45
Momentum Score
51
Thompson
Holland
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
6.5
5.1
Style: Volume
3.6
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
5
18
Body
4
7
Leg
3
RangeRange
42Distance9
6Clinch3
0Ground0
Thompson
Holland
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
0
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Thompson
Holland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
6
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
23/26 fights
Chin rating based on
30/44 fights
Thompson
Holland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
45
51
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
Upcoming
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R2
W Β· KO Β· R4
Last 5
Upcoming
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Thompson
Holland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
69%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
6
6
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Thompson
Holland
Striking6.1 / 4.3Volume5.1 / 3.6Grappling1.2 / 3.8Wrestling0.8 / 2.6Submission0.0 / 3.8Pressure5.2 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Thompson
Strike Zones
Holland
Thompson
Attacking
23HEAD18BODY7LEGS48 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD4BODY3LEGS12 absorbed
Holland
Attacking
5HEAD4BODY3LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD18BODY7LEGS48 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Thompson targets the head (48% of attacks) β€” Holland absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Holland targets the head (42% of attacks) β€” Thompson absorbs 42% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Thompson
RND
Holland
0/0R00/0

Thompson Β· Last 5

Upcoming
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Gabriel Bonfim
Decision
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Joaquin Buckley
KO/TKO
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L Β· Sub Β· R2
Shavkat Rakhmonov
Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington Β· 2023-12
W Β· KO Β· R4
Kevin Holland
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland Β· 2022-12

Holland Β· Last 5

Upcoming
Uros Medic
UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit Β· 2026-11
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Randy Brown
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg Β· 2026-04
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Mike Malott
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen Β· 2025-10
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Daniel Rodriguez
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 Β· 2025-07
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Vicente Luque
Submission
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News & Media

Stephen Thompson Β· Kevin Holland
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