METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
30 May 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
64%
Cerminara
36%
Shevchenko
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Katlyn CerminarawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Antonina Shevchenko · UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cerminara
→
Actual result
Cerminara wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Cerminara holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Shevchenko has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Shevchenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Cerminara's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Shevchenko has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CerminaraShevchenko
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cerminara
Shevchenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
68"+
Reach
67"
37+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cerminara
Shevchenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.7
27.8
43.4
Performance Avg
43.2
28
Quality of Victory
39
88
Momentum Score
73
Cerminara
Shevchenko
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
2.6
Style: Pressure
5.0
8.7
Style: Volume
5.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
11
9
Body
3
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
20Distance15
2Clinch2
13Ground0
Cerminara
Shevchenko
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cerminara
Shevchenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/24 fights
Chin rating based on
8/14 fights
Cerminara
Shevchenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
73
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Cerminara
Shevchenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
8%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
11
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cerminara
Shevchenko
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
CerminaraShevchenko
Strike Zones
Cerminara
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedShevchenko
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cerminara targets the head (63% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Shevchenko targets the head (65% of attacks) — Cerminara absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cerminara
RND
Shevchenko
0/0R00/0
Cerminara · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Mackenzie StillerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 2026-10
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberDecision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Manon FiorotDecision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
Shevchenko · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Casey O'NeillKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R2
Andrea LeeSubmission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
W · KO · R2
Ariane da SilvaKO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05