METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett
Hamburg, Germany
3 Sept 2016
Heavyweight
VS
66%
Arlovski
34%
Barnett
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:53
★ Official Result
Josh BarnettwinsSubmissionR3 · 2:53
def. Andrei Arlovski · UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Arlovski
→
Actual result
Barnett wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Arlovski holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Barnett has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Barnett has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barnett has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ArlovskiBarnett
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Arlovski
Barnett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
+78"
47+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Barnett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
25.3
50.5
Performance Avg
66.2
47
Quality of Victory
64
94
Momentum Score
100
Arlovski
Barnett
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
7.1
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
8.1
5.3
Style: Volume
2.5
9 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
14
4
Body
3
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance5
6Clinch6
0Ground6
Arlovski
Barnett
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arlovski
Barnett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
44
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
10/43 fights
Arlovski
Barnett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Arlovski
Barnett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
86%
9
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
2
12
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arlovski
Barnett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.1
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
ArlovskiBarnett
Strike Zones
Arlovski
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedBarnett
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (60% of attacks) — Barnett absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Barnett targets the head (82% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arlovski
RND
Barnett
0/0R00/0
Arlovski · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
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L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierDecision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
Barnett · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Andrei ArlovskiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · Sub · R2
Ben RothwellSubmission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · Dec · R5
Roy NelsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · KO · R1
Travis BrowneKO/TKO
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
W · KO · R1
Frank MirKO/TKO
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08