METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy
Las Vegas, USA
5 Apr 2025
Featherweight
VS
45%
Sabatini
55%
Brito
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Pat SabatiniwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joanderson Brito · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brito
→
Actual result
Sabatini wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Sabatini at 45% vs Brito at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brito has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Sabatini's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SabatiniBrito
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sabatini
Brito
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
+72"
35
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sabatini
Brito
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.7
69.2
53.2
Performance Avg
58.3
34
Quality of Victory
49
81
Momentum Score
98
Sabatini
Brito
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
7.4
7.0
Style: Volume
2.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Sabatini
Brito
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
3
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sabatini
Brito
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/27 fights
Chin rating based on
11/23 fights
Sabatini
Brito
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
98
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Sabatini
Brito
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sabatini
Brito
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
SabatiniBrito
Strike Zones
Sabatini
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedBrito
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sabatini targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brito absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sabatini
RND
Brito
0/0R00/0
Sabatini · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
Joanderson BritoDecision
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W · Sub · R1
Jonathan PearceSubmission
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L · KO · R1
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Brito · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Giga ChikadzeKO/TKO
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W · Sub · R1
Jordan LeavittSubmission
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Isaac ThomsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Pat SabatiniDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
William GomisDecision
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