METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Las Vegas, USA
2 Oct 2021
Welterweight
VS
37%
Oliveira
63%
Price
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Niko PricewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alex Oliveira · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Price
→
Actual result
Price wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Price holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Oliveira has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Oliveira's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Price has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OliveiraPrice
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Oliveira
Price
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
76"
Reach
76"
38
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oliveira
Price
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.9
51.1
46.5
Performance Avg
47.9
43
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
72
Oliveira
Price
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
6.5
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
6.8
4.0
Style: Volume
2.7
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
22
12
Body
6
8
Leg
6
RangeRange
39Distance26
0Clinch1
0Ground7
Oliveira
Price
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oliveira
Price
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
5
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/34 fights
Chin rating based on
22/27 fights
Oliveira
Price
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
72
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Oliveira
Price
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
78%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
3
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oliveira
Price
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
OliveiraPrice
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedPrice
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the head (49% of attacks) — Price absorbs 49% of strikes there
🎯Price targets the head (65% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oliveira
RND
Price
0/0R00/0
Oliveira · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Kevin HollandKO/TKO
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Niko PriceDecision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R1
Randy BrownSubmission
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Shavkat RakhmonovSubmission
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Peter SobottaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Price · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Leon ShahbazyanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10
L · Sub · R1
Michael ChiesaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Nikolay VeretennikovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Sub · R2
Jacobe SmithSubmission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10