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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
Las Vegas, USA
7 Dec 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Reyes
49%
Smith
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:46
Dominick
Dominick Reyes
"The Devastator"
16 – 5
6'4"77" reachSouthpaw36 yrs2-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 60
Anthony
Anthony Smith
"Lionheart"
38 – 22
Well-Rounded3-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'4"
CFR 58
★ Official Result
Dominick ReyeswinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:46
def. Anthony Smith · UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Reyes
→
Actual result
Reyes wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Reyes at 51% vs Smith at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Reyes's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Smith has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ReyesSmith
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Reyes
Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
77"+
Reach
76"
36+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Reyes
Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.7
58.3
57.7
Performance Avg
50.7
50
Quality of Victory
50
85
Momentum Score
100
Reyes
Smith
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.7
/ 10
4.9
/ 10
7.2
Style: Pressure
6.9
3.6
Style: Volume
2.3
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
72
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
16Clinch0
56Ground0
Reyes
Smith
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
3.9
1
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reyes
Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/21 fights
Chin rating based on
25/60 fights
Reyes
Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Reyes
Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
77%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
5
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Reyes
Smith
Striking7.7 / 4.9Volume3.6 / 2.3Grappling1.4 / 3.5Wrestling1.0 / 2.4Submission0.9 / 3.9Pressure7.2 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
Reyes
Strike Zones
Smith
Reyes
Attacking
72HEAD0BODY1LEGS73 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Smith
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
72HEAD0BODY1LEGS73 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Reyes targets the head (99% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 99% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Reyes
RND
Smith
0/0R00/0

Reyes · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Azamat Murzakanov
KO/TKO
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R3
Johnny Walker
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Carlos Ulberg
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Nikita Krylov
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R2
Anthony Smith
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12

Smith · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Zhang Mingyang
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Dominick Reyes
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Roman Dolidze
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Vitor Petrino
Submission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · KO · R3
Khalil Rountree Jr.
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12

News & Media

Dominick Reyes · Anthony Smith
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