METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
Chicago, USA
8 Jun 2019
Women's Strawweight
VS
59%
Xiaonan
41%
Hill
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Yan XiaonanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Angela Hill · UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Xiaonan
→
Actual result
Xiaonan wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Xiaonan at 59% vs Hill at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Xiaonan's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hill has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
XiaonanHill
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Xiaonan
Hill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'3"
63"
Reach
+64"
37+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Xiaonan
Hill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.3
36.3
43.0
Performance Avg
37.1
29
Quality of Victory
31
100
Momentum Score
40
Xiaonan
Hill
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
2.7
Style: Pressure
2.4
8.4
Style: Volume
7.2
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
27
6
Body
5
9
Leg
2
RangeRange
45Distance32
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Xiaonan
Hill
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Xiaonan
Hill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
48
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Xiaonan
Hill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Xiaonan
Hill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
14%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Xiaonan
Hill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
2.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.4
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.2
XiaonanHill
Strike Zones
Xiaonan
Attacking
46 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedHill
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
46 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Xiaonan targets the head (67% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Hill targets the head (79% of attacks) — Xiaonan absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Xiaonan
RND
Hill
0/0R00/0
Xiaonan · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Denise GomesKO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
Jessica AndradeKO/TKO
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Hill · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Fatima KlineDecision
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