METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Anaheim, USA
17 Feb 2024
Bantamweight
VS
47%
Dvalishvili
53%
Cejudo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Merab DvalishviliwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Henry Cejudo · UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cejudo
→
Actual result
Dvalishvili wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Dvalishvili at 47% vs Cejudo at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cejudo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Risk flags
Cejudo has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DvalishviliCejudo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dvalishvili
Cejudo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'4"
68"+
Reach
64"
35+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dvalishvili
Cejudo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.0
65.3
51.4
Performance Avg
58.4
34
Quality of Victory
56
94
Momentum Score
97
Dvalishvili
Cejudo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
4.7
8.4
Style: Volume
6.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
3
7
Body
0
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
15Distance9
6Clinch0
3Ground0
Dvalishvili
Cejudo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dvalishvili
Cejudo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/26 fights
Chin rating based on
16/22 fights
Dvalishvili
Cejudo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
97
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Dvalishvili
Cejudo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dvalishvili
Cejudo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
DvalishviliCejudo
Strike Zones
Dvalishvili
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedCejudo
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dvalishvili targets the head (54% of attacks) — Cejudo absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Cejudo targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Dvalishvili absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dvalishvili
RND
Cejudo
0/0R00/0
Dvalishvili · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Petr YanDecision
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
L · Dec · R5
Petr YanDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenDecision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Sub · R3
Sean O'MalleySubmission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovDecision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
Cejudo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Song YadongDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliDecision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingDecision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · KO · R2
Dominick CruzKO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05