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UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis
Toronto, Canada
20 Jan 2024
Welterweight
VS
41%
Magny
59%
Malott
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 Β· 4:45
Neil
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
31 – 15
6'3"80" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Mike
Mike Malott
"Proper"
14 – 2
Striker5-fight win streak34 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 72
β˜… Official Result
Neil MagnywinsKO/TKOR3 Β· 4:45
def. Mike Malott Β· UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Malott
β†’
Actual result
Magny wins
KO/TKO Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Magny at 41% vs Malott at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Malott has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 13 points.

Risk flags

Magny's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MagnyMalott
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Magny
Malott
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
80"+
Reach
73"
39
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magny
Malott
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.4
72.2
48.3
Performance Avg
65.1
37
Quality of Victory
49
81
Momentum Score
100
Magny
Malott
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
6.8
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
7.9
5.8
Style: Volume
3.8
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
44
Head
3
2
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
44Ground3
Magny
Malott
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
1.2
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Magny
Malott
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
38/46 fights
Chin rating based on
9/16 fights
Magny
Malott
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
81
100
Current form
5-fight πŸ”₯ win streak
W Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· Sub Β· R1
W Β· Sub Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· KO Β· R1
Last 5
W Β· KO Β· R2
W Β· KO Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R2
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Magny
Malott
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
75%
8
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
2
14
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Magny
Malott
Striking4.5 / 6.8Volume5.8 / 3.8Grappling2.3 / 2.6Wrestling1.6 / 1.8Submission1.2 / 2.5Pressure5.0 / 7.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
Magny
Strike Zones
Malott
Magny
Attacking
44HEAD2BODY0LEGS46 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Malott
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
44HEAD2BODY0LEGS46 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Magny targets the head (96% of attacks) β€” Malott absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Malott targets the head (75% of attacks) β€” Magny absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Magny
RND
Malott
0/0R00/0

Magny Β· Last 5

W Β· KO Β· R2
Ramiz Brahimaj
KO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry Β· 2026-08
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Yaroslav Amosov
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape Β· 2025-12
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Jake Matthews
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes Β· 2025-09
W Β· KO Β· R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park Β· 2025-08
L Β· KO Β· R1
Carlos Prates
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates Β· 2024-11

Malott Β· Last 5

W Β· KO Β· R2
Joaquin Buckley
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott Β· 2026-10
W Β· KO Β· R3
Gilbert Burns
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott Β· 2026-04
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Kevin Holland
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen Β· 2025-10
W Β· KO Β· R2
Charles Radtke
KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena Β· 2025-05
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Trevin Giles
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi Β· 2024-11

News & Media

Neil Magny Β· Mike Malott
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