METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
8 Mar 2025
Middleweight
VS
49%
Santos
51%
Diaz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ozzy DiazwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Djorden Santos · UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diaz
→
Actual result
Diaz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Santos at 49% vs Diaz at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Diaz has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SantosDiaz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Santos
Diaz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+79"
29+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Diaz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.7
25.6
25.0
Performance Avg
25.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
17
Momentum Score
33
Santos
Diaz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
0.8
Style: Pressure
0.8
8.5
Style: Volume
8.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
53
Head
57
3
Body
7
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
56Distance59
0Clinch5
1Ground0
Santos
Diaz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Diaz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
34
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Santos
Diaz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Santos
Diaz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Diaz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
SantosDiaz
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
57 landedAbsorbing
64 absorbedDiaz
Attacking
64 landedAbsorbing
57 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (93% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Diaz targets the head (89% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Diaz
0/0R00/0
Santos · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Yousri BelgarouiKO/TKO
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
L · Sub · R3
Baisangur SusurkaevSubmission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Danny BarlowDecision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Ozzy DiazDecision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
Diaz · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Ryan GandraKO/TKO
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · KO · R2
Ateba GautierKO/TKO
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Djorden SantosDecision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Zhang MingyangKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11