METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
Las Vegas, USA
10 Jul 2021
Welterweight
VS
53%
Price
47%
Pereira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Michel PereirawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Niko Price · UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Price
→
Actual result
Pereira wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Price at 53% vs Pereira at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Price has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Price's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pereira has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PricePereira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Price
Pereira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
76"+
Reach
73"
37
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Price
Pereira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.1
46.0
47.9
Performance Avg
48.9
50
Quality of Victory
40
72
Momentum Score
39
Price
Pereira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.5
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
5.4
2.7
Style: Volume
5.3
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
21
10
Body
12
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
37Distance25
8Clinch8
2Ground0
Price
Pereira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
3.0
2
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Price
Pereira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
48
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/27 fights
Chin rating based on
16/46 fights
Price
Pereira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
39
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R5
Price
Pereira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Price
Pereira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
PricePereira
Strike Zones
Price
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedPereira
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Price targets the head (66% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 66% of strikes there
🎯Pereira targets the head (64% of attacks) — Price absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Price
RND
Pereira
0/0R00/0
Price · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Leon ShahbazyanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10
L · Sub · R1
Michael ChiesaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Nikolay VeretennikovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Sub · R2
Jacobe SmithSubmission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
Pereira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Zach ReeseDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Kyle DaukausKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Abus MagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R5
Anthony HernandezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10