METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
Las Vegas, USA
31 Oct 2020
Lightweight
VS
27%
Gruetzemacher
73%
Hernandez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:46
CG
Chris Gruetzemacher
"Gritz"
15 – 5
5'8"68" reachOrthodox40 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 21
Alexander
Alexander Hernandez
"El Gran Chango"
18 – 9
Striker34 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 56
★ Official Result
Alexander HernandezwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:46
def. Chris Gruetzemacher · UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hernandez
→
Actual result
Hernandez wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Hernandez is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Gruetzemacher's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hernandez has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GruetzemacherHernandez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+72"
40
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
56.3
38.1
Performance Avg
49.1
35
Quality of Victory
43
41
Momentum Score
100
Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
6.6
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
5.6
6.2
Style: Volume
4.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
16
0
Body
4
4
Leg
9
RangeRange
8Distance28
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
14
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/20 fights
Chin rating based on
19/27 fights
Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
100
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
55%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gruetzemacher
Hernandez
Striking4.2 / 6.6Volume6.2 / 4.8Grappling1.6 / 1.1Wrestling1.1 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.6
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Gruetzemacher
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Gruetzemacher
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY4LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD4BODY9LEGS29 absorbed
Hernandez
Attacking
16HEAD4BODY9LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY4LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gruetzemacher targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Hernandez targets the head (55% of attacks) — Gruetzemacher absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gruetzemacher
RND
Hernandez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Gruetzemacher · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Claudio Puelles
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Rafa Garcia
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Alexander Hernandez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
W · KO · R2
Joe Lauzon
KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · Sub · R3
Davi Ramos
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12

Hernandez · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Rafael Dos Anjos
KO/TKO
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
L · Dec · R3
Rafa Garcia
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Diego Ferreira
KO/TKO
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Chase Hooper
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Kurt Holobaugh
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03

News & Media

Chris Gruetzemacher · Alexander Hernandez
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