METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez
Memphis, USA
12 Dec 2009
Lightweight
VS
31%
Florian
69%
Guida
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:19
★ Official Result
Kenny FlorianwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:19
def. Clay Guida · UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Guida
→
Actual result
Florian wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Guida holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Florian has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Florian's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Guida has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FlorianGuida
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Florian
Guida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
74"+
Reach
70"
50
Age
+44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Florian
Guida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
39.7
55.4
Performance Avg
40.7
45
Quality of Victory
35
28
Momentum Score
78
Florian
Guida
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
7.4
Style: Pressure
4.2
2.8
Style: Volume
5.9
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
1
2
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance3
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Florian
Guida
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
3.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
5.8
Submission Style (/10)
2.8
7
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Florian
Guida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
8
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
16 fights ago
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/20 fights
Chin rating based on
37/60 fights
Florian
Guida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
78
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Florian
Guida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
39%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
7
Submission Wins
5
3
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Florian
Guida
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
5.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.8
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
FlorianGuida
Strike Zones
Florian
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedGuida
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Florian targets the head (80% of attacks) — Guida absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Guida targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Florian absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Florian
RND
Guida
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
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