METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
Chicago, USA
9 Jun 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
21%
Evans
79%
Smith
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:53
★ Official Result
Anthony SmithwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:53
def. Rashad Evans · UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Smith
→
Actual result
Smith wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Smith is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Evans's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Smith has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EvansSmith
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Evans
Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+76"
47
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Evans
Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
58.3
53.1
Performance Avg
50.7
46
Quality of Victory
50
25
Momentum Score
100
Evans
Smith
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
4.9
/ 10
4.9
Style: Pressure
6.9
5.8
Style: Volume
2.3
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
0Distance2
1Clinch2
0Ground2
Evans
Smith
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.9
0
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evans
Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/27 fights
Chin rating based on
25/60 fights
Evans
Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
100
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Evans
Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
77%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
5
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Evans
Smith
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
EvansSmith
Strike Zones
Evans
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedSmith
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Evans targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Smith targets the head (67% of attacks) — Evans absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Evans
RND
Smith
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Evans · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithKO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyDecision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderDecision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
Smith · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Zhang MingyangKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Vitor PetrinoSubmission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · KO · R3
Khalil Rountree Jr.KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12