Marvin Vettori vs Brendan Allen — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3

New Orleans, USA

19 Jul 2025

Middleweight

44%

Vettori

56%

Allen

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Marvin Vettori

"The Italian Dream"

19 – 10

6'0"74" reachSouthpaw33 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 48

Brendan Allen

"All In"

27 – 7

Well-Rounded4-fight win streak30 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"

CFR 62

★ Official Result

Brendan AllenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Marvin Vettori · UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Allen

→

Actual result

Allen wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Vettori at 44% vs Allen at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Allen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Risk flags

Allen has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

VettoriAllen

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Vettori

Allen

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'0"

Height

+6'2"

74"

Reach

+75"

Age

+30

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Vettori

Allen

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

48.4

61.7

38.9

Performance Avg

57.1

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Vettori

Allen

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.0

/ 10

2.9

/ 10

3.1

Style: Pressure

6.8

7.2

Style: Volume

4.6

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

42Distance36

2Clinch3

0Ground0

Vettori

Allen

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.6

/ 10

4.9

/ 10

2.5

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.4

2.2

Submission Style (/10)

5.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Vettori

Allen

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

13 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

19/29 fights

Chin rating based on

20/34 fights

Vettori

Allen

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

5-fight 📉 slide

Current form

4-fight 🔥 win streak

L · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

Last 5

W · Sub · R5

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R4

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Vettori

Allen

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

22%

63%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Vettori

Allen

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

2.9

3.6

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.9

2.5

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.4

2.2

Submission

Submission attack frequency

5.0

3.1

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.8

7.2

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.6

Vettori

Strike Zones

Allen

Vettori

Attacking

44 landed

Absorbing

39 absorbed

Allen

Attacking

39 landed

Absorbing

44 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Vettori targets the head (89% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 89% of strikes there

🎯Allen targets the head (79% of attacks) — Vettori absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Vettori

RND

Allen

0/0R00/0

Vettori · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Ismail Naurdiev

Decision

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10

L · Dec · R3

Brunno Ferreira

Decision

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12

L · Dec · R3

Brendan Allen

Decision

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07

L · Dec · R5

Roman Dolidze

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03

L · Dec · R5

Jared Cannonier

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

Allen · Last 5

W · Sub · R5

Christian Leroy Duncan

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10

W · Dec · R3

Edmen Shahbazyan

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06

W · KO · R4

Reinier de Ridder

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10

W · Dec · R3

Marvin Vettori

Decision

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07

L · Dec · R3

Anthony Hernandez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

News & Media

Marvin Vettori · Brendan Allen

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