METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
Los Angeles, USA
29 Dec 2018
Bantamweight
VS
43%
Kelleher
57%
Jackson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:40
Brian
Brian Kelleher
"Boom"
24 – 16
5'6"66" reachSwitch40 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 41
Montel
Montel Jackson
"Quik"
15 – 4
Well-Rounded34 yrsSouthpaw75" reach5'10"
CFR 54
★ Official Result
Montel JacksonwinsSubmissionR1 · 1:40
def. Brian Kelleher · UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jackson
→
Actual result
Jackson wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Kelleher at 43% vs Jackson at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Kelleher's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
KelleherJackson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kelleher
Jackson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
66"
Reach
+75"
40
Age
+34
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Kelleher
Jackson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.8
54.0
44.5
Performance Avg
53.4
43
Quality of Victory
41
61
Momentum Score
48
Kelleher
Jackson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
5.4
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
5.6
3.9
Style: Volume
5.4
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
6
0
Body
2
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance7
0Clinch1
0Ground2
Kelleher
Jackson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kelleher
Jackson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/40 fights
Chin rating based on
14/19 fights
Kelleher
Jackson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
48
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Kelleher
Jackson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kelleher
Jackson
Striking3.4 / 5.4Volume3.9 / 5.4Grappling3.9 / 2.0Wrestling2.7 / 1.4Submission3.8 / 1.0Pressure5.8 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
Kelleher
Strike Zones
Jackson
Kelleher
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY6LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY2LEGS10 absorbed
Jackson
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY2LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY6LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kelleher targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Jackson targets the head (60% of attacks) — Kelleher absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kelleher
RND
Jackson
0/0R00/0

Kelleher · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Cody Gibson
Submission
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L · KO · R1
Cody Garbrandt
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Sub · R1
Mario Bautista
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · Sub · R1
Umar Nurmagomedov
Submission
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
Kevin Croom
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

Jackson · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Ricky Simon
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Raoni Barcelos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson Figueiredo
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Daniel Marcos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Da'Mon Blackshear
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

News & Media

Brian Kelleher · Montel Jackson
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