METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Miami, USA
12 Apr 2025
Featherweight
VS
46%
Mitchell
54%
Silva
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:52
★ Official Result
Jean SilvawinsSubmissionR2 · 3:52
def. Bryce Mitchell · UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Silva
→
Actual result
Silva wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Mitchell at 46% vs Silva at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Mitchell's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MitchellSilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mitchell
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
32
Age
+29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Mitchell
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.3
68.0
50.2
Performance Avg
63.2
32
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
87
Mitchell
Silva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
7.6
7.1
Style: Volume
2.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
9
5
Body
7
7
Leg
2
RangeRange
13Distance15
1Clinch2
0Ground1
Mitchell
Silva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mitchell
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
8/20 fights
Mitchell
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
87
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Mitchell
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
71%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mitchell
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
MitchellSilva
Strike Zones
Mitchell
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedSilva
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mitchell targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (50% of attacks) — Mitchell absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mitchell
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Mitchell · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Santiago LunaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R2
Jean SilvaSubmission
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R3
Kron GracieKO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettKO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
Silva · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Jose DelgadoSubmission
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenDecision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R2
Diego LopesKO/TKO
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Sub · R2
Bryce MitchellSubmission
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Melsik BaghdasaryanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02