METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
London, United Kingdom
22 Mar 2025
Middleweight
VS
55%
Duncan
45%
Pulyaev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Christian Leroy DuncanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Andrey Pulyaev · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Duncan
→
Actual result
Duncan wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Duncan at 55% vs Pulyaev at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pulyaev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Pulyaev has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DuncanPulyaev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Duncan
Pulyaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
79"+
Reach
78"
31
Age
+29
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Duncan
Pulyaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.5
47.8
56.1
Performance Avg
41.0
45
Quality of Victory
55
66
Momentum Score
39
Duncan
Pulyaev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.7
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.6
Style: Pressure
7.6
4.5
Style: Volume
0.4
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
1
7
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance0
17Clinch2
0Ground0
Duncan
Pulyaev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Duncan
Pulyaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/17 fights
Chin rating based on
5/15 fights
Duncan
Pulyaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
39
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Duncan
Pulyaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Duncan
Pulyaev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
DuncanPulyaev
Strike Zones
Duncan
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedPulyaev
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Duncan targets the head (66% of attacks) — Pulyaev absorbs 66% of strikes there
🎯Pulyaev targets the head (50% of attacks) — Duncan absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Duncan
RND
Pulyaev
0/0R00/0
Duncan · Last 5
L · Sub · R5
Brendan AllenSubmission
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Marco TulioKO/TKO
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Eryk AndersKO/TKO
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Pulyaev · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Damian PinasKO/TKO
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
L · Sub · R1
Nursulton RuziboevSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Ateba GautierDecision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Nick KleinKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03

