METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith
Moncton, Canada
27 Oct 2018
Welterweight
VS
33%
Garcia
67%
McGee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AG
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Court McGeewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alex Garcia · UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McGee
→
Actual result
McGee wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
McGee holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Garcia has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
McGee has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GarciaMcGee
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Garcia
McGee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
+75"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Garcia
McGee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
34.2
46.3
Performance Avg
39.4
44
Quality of Victory
36
40
Momentum Score
35
Garcia
McGee
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
5.7
Style: Pressure
3.2
4.2
Style: Volume
6.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
13
3
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance2
4Clinch0
3Ground14
Garcia
McGee
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Garcia
McGee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/21 fights
Chin rating based on
25/37 fights
Garcia
McGee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Garcia
McGee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
27%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Garcia
McGee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.2
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
GarciaMcGee
Strike Zones
Garcia
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedMcGee
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Garcia targets the head (56% of attacks) — McGee absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯McGee targets the head (81% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Garcia
RND
McGee
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Garcia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Sub · R2
Muslim SalikhovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansDecision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · KO · R1
Mike PyleKO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
McGee · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Eric NolanKO/TKO
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Sub · R1
Tim MeansSubmission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Matt BrownKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05