METRICS GUIDE
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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
An unbeaten short-notice debutant who signed his contract a fortnight ago against a middleweight whose last four fights have lasted a combined eleven minutes.
Mickey Gall was meant to be standing here. He came off the card in fight week, and the man who replaced him, Luis Hernandez, won a Dana White's Contender Series contract less than two weeks ago and has gone from signing to walking to the Octagon without the usual pause in between. That is the first thing to understand about this booking: one of these men has a full camp behind him and the other ha…
Hernandez (8-0) is a UFC debutant and there is no data on him in this database — no composite rating, no chin rating, no momentum score, no rated opponents. He earned his contract on Dana White's Contender Series in mid-September 2026 and accepted this fight on days' notice after Mickey Gall withdrew. A 30-year-old southpaw at 175.3cm with a 185.4cm reach, he is short for middleweight. Everything beyond the unbeaten record is unverified at this level.
Dumas (10-5) rates 27.6 composite, 25.0 quality-of-victory, 35.0 momentum and 20.0 for chin, with a finish rate of 0.0. His last five recorded fights: a first-round submission loss to Jackson McVey in April 2026, a second-round submission loss to Donte Johnson in November 2025, a no-contest against Zach Reese after 51 seconds in September 2025, a first-round knockout loss to Michal Oleksiejczuk at UFC 314 in April 2025, and a decision win over Denis Tiuliulin in August 2024. At 188cm with a 200.7cm reach he is the far bigger man.
Late replacement: Mickey Gall withdrew in fight week and Hernandez took the bout days after signing
Dumas' 20.0 chin rating, the lowest on the card, against an opponent no one has film on
A 12.7cm height and 15.3cm reach advantage to Dumas, the largest physical gap on the card
Southpaw against orthodox — a look absent from Dumas' last five fights
Dumas has not won since August 2024 and has a finish rate of 0.0
Hernandez is genuinely unrated — 8-0 outside the UFC has no established translation, and any confident read on him is invented
Short notice is a real penalty, and it lands entirely on the debutant
Dumas' grappling (2.4) and wrestling (1.68) are live weapons against a much shorter man if he can get hold of him
Dumas has shared the cage with UFC-standard opposition for three years; Hernandez has shared it with none
This Fight — Statistics
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown