METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2025
Lightweight
VS
41%
Barboza
59%
Turner
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:24
★ Official Result
Jalin TurnerwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:24
def. Edson Barboza · UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Turner
→
Actual result
Turner wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Barboza at 41% vs Turner at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Turner has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Barboza's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Turner has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BarbozaTurner
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Barboza
Turner
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+77"
40
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Barboza
Turner
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.6
64.4
45.7
Performance Avg
57.8
40
Quality of Victory
56
60
Momentum Score
85
Barboza
Turner
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
7.9
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
8.8
5.1
Style: Volume
1.2
9 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
29
4
Body
8
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance33
0Clinch5
0Ground1
Barboza
Turner
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barboza
Turner
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/38 fights
Chin rating based on
15/24 fights
Barboza
Turner
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
85
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Barboza
Turner
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
9
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
3
9
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barboza
Turner
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
BarbozaTurner
Strike Zones
Barboza
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedTurner
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barboza targets the head (40% of attacks) — Turner absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Turner targets the head (74% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barboza
RND
Turner
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Barboza · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Esteban RibovicsKO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Sodiq YusuffDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
Turner · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Kaue FernandesKO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
W · KO · R1
Edson BarbozaKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Sub · R1
Ignacio BahamondesSubmission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Renato MoicanoKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
King GreenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12