METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez
San Jose, USA
20 Apr 2013
Lightweight
VS
59%
Means
41%
Masvidal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jorge MasvidalwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tim Means · UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Means
→
Actual result
Masvidal wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Means at 59% vs Masvidal at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Means's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Masvidal has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MeansMasvidal
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Means
Masvidal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
74"
42
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Means
Masvidal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.5
25.8
45.2
Performance Avg
47.0
41
Quality of Victory
42
40
Momentum Score
43
Means
Masvidal
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
5.1
4.8
Style: Volume
4.4
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
9
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance2
1Clinch0
9Ground9
Means
Masvidal
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.8
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Means
Masvidal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/50 fights
Chin rating based on
22/52 fights
Means
Masvidal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
Means
Masvidal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Means
Masvidal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
MeansMasvidal
Strike Zones
Means
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedMasvidal
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Means targets the head (94% of attacks) — Masvidal absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Masvidal targets the head (82% of attacks) — Means absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Means
RND
Masvidal
0/0R00/0
Means · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Court McGeeSubmission
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L · KO · R1
Uros MedicKO/TKO
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W · KO · R3
Andre FialhoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Sub · R2
Alex MoronoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
Masvidal · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsDecision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonDecision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Kamaru UsmanKO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanDecision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · R3
Nate DiazUFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11