METRICS GUIDE
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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
A first-round knockout artist who fights roughly once a year against an opponent with a 96 chin rating who has never been stopped.
Casey O'Neill has fought five times in four and a half years by this record, and each appearance has come after a gap long enough that the previous one barely informs it. That is the first thing to understand about her 58.5 composite: it is built on real evidence, but the evidence is spread thin across time. What that evidence says is encouraging. She knocked out Gabriella Fernandes in the first …
O'Neill (11-2) knocked out Gabriella Fernandes in the first round in March 2026 and outpointed Luana Santos in August 2024, with losses to Ariane da Silva by submission and Jennifer Maia on the cards before that. Long gaps between appearances are the pattern; her 44.2 quality-of-victory is the higher figure here.
Moura (12-2) lost a decision to Wang Cong in February 2026 after beating Lauren Murphy and Veronica Hardy on the cards. Four of her last five went to the judges and her 0.33 finish rate reflects it. A 96.0 chin rating and a 35.0 quality-of-victory — durable, and not yet tested against this calibre.
O'Neill's 6.50 striking against a 96.0 chin rating that has never been cracked
A 6.53 volume score against 4.17 — Moura's route to the cards
O'Neill's long layoffs: five recorded fights across four and a half years, nineteen months of it between the last two
Five centimetres of reach and a 6.92 pressure rating against 4.13
Moura's 35.0 quality-of-victory against O'Neill's 44.2 — a step up in opposition
If O'Neill cannot finish early, Moura's volume wins three close rounds without much drama
O'Neill's activity pattern makes her ratings the less reliable of the two; the March knockout is her only recent evidence
This Fight — Statistics
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown