METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises
Las Vegas, USA
17 Jul 2021
Lightweight
VS
46%
Stephens
54%
Gamrot
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:05
★ Official Result
Mateusz GamrotwinsSubmissionR1 · 1:05
def. Jeremy Stephens · UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gamrot
→
Actual result
Gamrot wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Stephens at 46% vs Gamrot at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Stephens's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StephensGamrot
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Stephens
Gamrot
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
40
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Stephens
Gamrot
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.0
52.6
41.1
Performance Avg
50.9
40
Quality of Victory
42
76
Momentum Score
55
Stephens
Gamrot
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.5
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
5.8
4.6
Style: Volume
4.8
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Stephens
Gamrot
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stephens
Gamrot
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
70
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
36/52 fights
Chin rating based on
14/30 fights
Stephens
Gamrot
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
55
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Stephens
Gamrot
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
56%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stephens
Gamrot
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
StephensGamrot
Strike Zones
Stephens
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedGamrot
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gamrot targets the head (100% of attacks) — Stephens absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stephens
RND
Gamrot
0/0R00/0
Stephens · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
King GreenSubmission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Mason JonesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Mateusz GamrotSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · KO · R2
Calvin KattarKO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Yair RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
Gamrot · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Quillan SalkilldSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
W · Sub · R2
Esteban RibovicsSubmission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Sub · R2
Charles OliveiraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerDecision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08