METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
12 May 2018
Middleweight
VS
54%
Belfort
46%
Machida
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:00
★ Official Result
Lyoto MachidawinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:00
def. Vitor Belfort · UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Belfort
→
Actual result
Machida wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Belfort at 54% vs Machida at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Belfort has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Belfort's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Machida has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BelfortMachida
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Belfort
Machida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
74"
49
Age
+48
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Belfort
Machida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.9
18.7
59.2
Performance Avg
53.8
59
Quality of Victory
45
91
Momentum Score
78
Belfort
Machida
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.5
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
7.9
Style: Pressure
5.5
1.7
Style: Volume
5.3
11 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Belfort
Machida
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
0.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.6
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Belfort
Machida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
4
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/40 fights
Chin rating based on
24/32 fights
Belfort
Machida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
78
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
Belfort
Machida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
87%
50%
11
KO / TKO Wins
7
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Belfort
Machida
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
1.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
BelfortMachida
Strike Zones
Belfort
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMachida
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Belfort targets the head (100% of attacks) — Machida absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Machida targets the head (100% of attacks) — Belfort absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Belfort
RND
Machida
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Belfort · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Lyoto MachidaKO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtDecision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
Upcoming
Kelvin GastelumUFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · KO · R2
Gegard MousasiKO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Jacare SouzaKO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05
Machida · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Vitor BelfortKO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R5
Eryk AndersDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Derek BrunsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · KO · R3
Yoel RomeroKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Luke RockholdSubmission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04