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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
Dallas, USA
13 May 2017
Welterweight
VS
44%
Maia
56%
Masvidal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
DM
Demian Maia
28 – 11
6'1"72" reachSouthpaw48 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 21
JM
Jorge Masvidal
"Gamebred"
35 – 17
Well-Rounded4-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 26
β˜… Official Result
Demian MaiawinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Jorge Masvidal Β· UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Masvidal
β†’
Actual result
Maia wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Maia at 44% vs Masvidal at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Masvidal has a chin rating of 60 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MaiaMasvidal
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Maia
Masvidal
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
72"
Reach
+74"
48
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
Masvidal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
25.8
50.8
Performance Avg
47.0
40
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
43
Maia
Masvidal
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
5.1
5.0
Style: Volume
4.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
6
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance9
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Maia
Masvidal
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.8
11
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maia
Masvidal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
22/52 fights
Maia
Masvidal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
100
43
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
4-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Sub Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R5
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· R3
Maia
Masvidal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
11
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maia
Masvidal
Striking1.8 / 5.3Volume5.0 / 4.4Grappling5.1 / 1.7Wrestling3.6 / 1.2Submission5.0 / 0.8Pressure5.8 / 5.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
Maia
Strike Zones
Masvidal
Maia
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Masvidal
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (100% of attacks) β€” Masvidal absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Masvidal targets the head (67% of attacks) β€” Maia absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Maia
RND
Masvidal
0/0R00/0

Maia Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Belal Muhammad
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 Β· 2021-06
L Β· KO Β· R1
Gilbert Burns
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira Β· 2020-03
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Ben Askren
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren Β· 2019-10
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Anthony Rocco Martin
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos Β· 2019-06
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Lyman Good
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 Β· 2019-02

Masvidal Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Gilbert Burns
Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 Β· 2023-04
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Colby Covington
Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal Β· 2022-03
L Β· KO Β· R2
Kamaru Usman
KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 Β· 2021-04
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Kamaru Usman
Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal Β· 2020-07
W Β· R3
Nate Diaz
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz Β· 2019-11

News & Media

Demian Maia Β· Jorge Masvidal
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