METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
Las Vegas, USA
10 Aug 2024
Heavyweight
VS
50%
Diniz
50%
Williams
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jhonata DinizwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Karl Williams · UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diniz
→
Actual result
Diniz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Diniz at 50% vs Williams at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Diniz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Diniz's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DinizWilliams
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Diniz
Williams
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
79"
Reach
79"
35+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Diniz
Williams
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.5
45.6
41.0
Performance Avg
45.0
35
Quality of Victory
25
64
Momentum Score
78
Diniz
Williams
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
2.3
6.3
Style: Volume
9.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
6
1
Body
1
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
7Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Diniz
Williams
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Diniz
Williams
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/11 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Diniz
Williams
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
78
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Diniz
Williams
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diniz
Williams
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.5
DinizWilliams
Strike Zones
Diniz
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedWilliams
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diniz targets the head (57% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Williams targets the head (60% of attacks) — Diniz absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diniz
RND
Williams
0/0R00/0
Diniz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Tanner BoserKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 2026-10
L · KO · R2
Mario PintoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Alvin HinesDecision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · R2
Marcin TyburaUFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
Williams · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Jhonata DinizDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Justin TafaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Chase ShermanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Lukasz BrzeskiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03