METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Las Vegas, USA
2 Oct 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
32%
Shevchenko
68%
O'Neill
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:47
★ Official Result
Casey O'NeillwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:47
def. Antonina Shevchenko · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
O'Neill
→
Actual result
O'Neill wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
O'Neill holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Shevchenko has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Shevchenko's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ShevchenkoO'Neill
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Shevchenko
O'Neill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
+69"
41
Age
+29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Shevchenko
O'Neill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.8
60.1
43.2
Performance Avg
58.5
39
Quality of Victory
46
73
Momentum Score
58
Shevchenko
O'Neill
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
7.3
5.0
Style: Volume
3.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
41
2
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance8
2Clinch0
0Ground35
Shevchenko
O'Neill
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shevchenko
O'Neill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/14 fights
Chin rating based on
9/13 fights
Shevchenko
O'Neill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
58
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Shevchenko
O'Neill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
71%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shevchenko
O'Neill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
ShevchenkoO'Neill
Strike Zones
Shevchenko
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedO'Neill
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shevchenko targets the head (82% of attacks) — O'Neill absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯O'Neill targets the head (95% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shevchenko
RND
O'Neill
0/0R00/0
Shevchenko · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Casey O'NeillKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R2
Andrea LeeSubmission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
W · KO · R2
Ariane da SilvaKO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
O'Neill · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Eduarda MouraSubmission
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
W · KO · R1
Gabriella FernandesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Luana SantosDecision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R2
Ariane da SilvaSubmission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaDecision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03