METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
Dallas, USA
14 Mar 2015
Welterweight
VS
30%
Hendricks
70%
Brown
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Johny HendrickswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Matt Brown · UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brown
→
Actual result
Hendricks wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Brown is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brown has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Hendricks's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brown has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HendricksBrown
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hendricks
Brown
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
69"
Reach
+75"
43+
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hendricks
Brown
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
42.5
48.2
Performance Avg
54.0
39
Quality of Victory
52
80
Momentum Score
78
Hendricks
Brown
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
8.8
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
7.9
6.2
Style: Volume
2.1
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
13 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch1
3Ground2
Hendricks
Brown
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.2
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hendricks
Brown
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/26 fights
Chin rating based on
30/45 fights
Hendricks
Brown
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
78
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Hendricks
Brown
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
88%
5
KO / TKO Wins
13
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hendricks
Brown
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.8
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.2
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
HendricksBrown
Strike Zones
Hendricks
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedBrown
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hendricks targets the head (60% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Brown targets the head (80% of attacks) — Hendricks absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hendricks
RND
Brown
0/0R00/0
Hendricks · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Paulo CostaKO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Tim BoetschKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyDecision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumDecision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
Brown · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Court McGeeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · KO · R2
Dhiego LimaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Carlos ConditDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · KO · R2
Miguel BaezaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05