METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado
Glendale, USA
12 Sept 2026
Women's Flyweight
VS
43%
Aldrich
57%
Tarin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JJ
JJ Aldrich
15 – 7
5'5"67" reachSouthpaw34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 47
Regina
Regina Tarin
"Kill Bill"
8 – 0
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak22 yrsSouthpaw66" reach5'7"
CFR 61
★ Official Result
Regina TarinwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. JJ Aldrich · Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tarin
Tarin by unanimous decision — a busy, low-damage fifteen minutes in which the yo…
→
Actual result
Tarin wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

A 21-year-old with one recorded fight and a maximum volume rating against a veteran who has won four of five and has one stoppage in seventeen recorded fights.

The model has one fight on Regina Tarin. That is the honest starting point, and everything below has to be read against it: a decision win over Ernesta Kareckaite in February is the entire recorded body of evidence behind a 60.8 composite, a 100.0 chin rating and a maximum 10.0 volume score. Three fights would be thin. One is not enough to trust, and the confidence on this pick is set accordingly.…

Aldrich intel

Aldrich (15-7) has won four of her last five, three of them on the cards, most recently a decision over Jamey-Lyn Horth in April. Her finish rate of 0.09 reflects a single stoppage — Liang Na in August 2023. At 33 with 17 recorded promotional fights, her 27.7 quality-of-victory is modest but her 8.57 volume score is genuinely high.

Tarin intel

Tarin (8-0) has one recorded fight: a decision over Ernesta Kareckaite in February. Her 60.8 composite, 100.0 chin rating and 10.0 volume score all rest on that single appearance, and her 25.0 quality-of-victory is the lowest figure in the pack. She is 21, which is the youngest age here by three years.

Key angles

A 60.8 composite derived from exactly one recorded fight

Tarin's 25.0 quality-of-victory — the lowest figure in the pack — against a veteran of 17 promotional fights

Twelve years of age difference, and five centimetres of height against two and a half of reach the other way

Combined finish rates of 0.09 and 0.00: this is going to the judges unless something unusual happens

Aldrich has won four of her last five, all but one on the cards; knowing how to win rounds is a skill Tarin has not had to demonstrate

Risk flags

One recorded fight cannot support this rating — Tarin's numbers may be pure small-sample noise

Aldrich's 8.57 volume and seventeen fights of round-stealing experience are exactly what beats an unproven prospect on the cards

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AldrichTarin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Aldrich
Tarin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
67"+
Reach
66"
34
Age
+22
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Aldrich
Tarin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.5
60.8
41.1
Performance Avg
55.0
28
Quality of Victory
25
80
Momentum Score
100
Aldrich
Tarin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
2.5
Style: Pressure
3.0
8.5
Style: Volume
10.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
16
4
Body
6
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
16Distance22
8Clinch6
0Ground0
Aldrich
Tarin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Aldrich
Tarin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/22 fights
Chin rating based on
2/8 fights
Aldrich
Tarin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Aldrich
Tarin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Aldrich
Tarin
Striking2.1 / 2.0Volume8.5 / 10.0Grappling2.2 / 2.4Wrestling1.5 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.5 / 3.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
10.0
Aldrich
Strike Zones
Tarin
Aldrich
Attacking
16HEAD4BODY4LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD6BODY6LEGS28 absorbed
Tarin
Attacking
16HEAD6BODY6LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD4BODY4LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Aldrich targets the head (67% of attacks) — Tarin absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Tarin targets the head (57% of attacks) — Aldrich absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Aldrich
RND
Tarin
0/0R00/0

Aldrich · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Regina Tarin
Decision
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Andrea Lee
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Veronica Hardy
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Montana De La Rosa
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10

Tarin · Last 2

W · Dec · R3
JJ Aldrich
Decision
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Ernesta Kareckaite
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02

News & Media

JJ Aldrich · Regina Tarin
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