METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes
Las Vegas, USA
22 Apr 2023
Lightweight
VS
54%
Green
46%
Gordon
Win Probability
King
King Green
36 – 17
5'10"71" reachOrthodox40 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 50
Jared
Jared Gordon
"Flash"
21 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'9"
CFR 42

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Green

This is a genuine toss-up — Green at 54% vs Gordon at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Green's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gordon has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

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Green
Gordon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
71"+
Reach
68"
40
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Green
Gordon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.7
42.1
46.5
Performance Avg
42.8
40
Quality of Victory
36
85
Momentum Score
63
Green
Gordon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
4.1
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
3.9
5.4
Style: Volume
6.4
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
9
6
Body
5
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
17Distance17
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Green
Gordon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.7
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Green
Gordon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/53 fights
Chin rating based on
18/30 fights
Green
Gordon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
63
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Green
Gordon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Green
Gordon
Striking4.1 / 4.4Volume5.4 / 6.4Grappling2.7 / 1.6Wrestling1.9 / 1.1Submission1.8 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
Green
Strike Zones
Gordon
Green
Attacking
15HEAD6BODY2LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD5BODY3LEGS17 absorbed
Gordon
Attacking
9HEAD5BODY3LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD6BODY2LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Green targets the head (65% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Gordon targets the head (53% of attacks) — Green absorbs 53% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Green
RND
Gordon
0/0R00/0

Green · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Esteban Ribovics
KO/TKO
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
W · KO · R1
Terrance McKinney
KO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Sub · R1
Jeremy Stephens
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Daniel Zellhuber
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Lance Gibson Jr.
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

Gordon · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Jim Miller
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R3
Rafa Garcia
KO/TKO
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Thiago Moises
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat Haqparast
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Mark Madsen
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

News & Media

King Green · Jared Gordon
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