METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
Anaheim, USA
23 Oct 2010
Welterweight
VS
48%
Sanchez
52%
Thiago
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Diego SanchezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Paulo Thiago · UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Thiago
→
Actual result
Sanchez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Sanchez at 48% vs Thiago at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Sanchez's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Thiago has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SanchezThiago
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sanchez
Thiago
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
+74"
44+
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Sanchez
Thiago
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
13.5
46.0
Performance Avg
37.5
37
Quality of Victory
37
20
Momentum Score
39
Sanchez
Thiago
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
4.0
Style: Pressure
4.0
6.2
Style: Volume
5.6
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
1
5
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch1
26Ground0
Sanchez
Thiago
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sanchez
Thiago
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
44
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/44 fights
Chin rating based on
13/27 fights
Sanchez
Thiago
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
39
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Sanchez
Thiago
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
32%
40%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
13
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sanchez
Thiago
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
SanchezThiago
Strike Zones
Sanchez
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedThiago
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sanchez targets the head (81% of attacks) — Thiago absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Thiago targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sanchez
RND
Thiago
0/0R00/0
Sanchez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaDecision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · KO · R2
Mickey GallKO/TKO
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Craig WhiteDecision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
Thiago · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean SpencerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Gasan UmalatovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
L · KO · R1
Brandon ThatchKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
W · Dec · R3
Michel PrazeresDecision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · 2013-05
L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun KimDecision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11