METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje
Philadelphia, USA
30 Mar 2019
Featherweight
VS
50%
Emmett
50%
Johnson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:14
★ Official Result
Josh EmmettwinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:14
def. Michael Johnson · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Emmett
→
Actual result
Emmett wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Emmett at 50% vs Johnson at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Emmett's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Johnson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EmmettJohnson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Emmett
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+73"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Emmett
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.2
36.8
46.3
Performance Avg
42.5
38
Quality of Victory
38
15
Momentum Score
35
Emmett
Johnson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
4.8
/ 10
4.6
Style: Pressure
4.1
6.0
Style: Volume
6.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
2
Body
4
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Emmett
Johnson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Emmett
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
32/45 fights
Emmett
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Emmett
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
38%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Emmett
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
EmmettJohnson
Strike Zones
Emmett
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Emmett targets the head (38% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the body (57% of attacks) — Emmett absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Emmett
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Emmett · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kevin VallejosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Youssef ZalalSubmission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Bryce MitchellKO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Ilia TopuriaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
Johnson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Drew DoberKO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Ottman AzaitarKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Darrius FlowersDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05