METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jun 2026
Featherweight
VS
54%
Oliveira
46%
Fili
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:56
★ Official Result
Vinicius OliveirawinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:56
def. Andre Fili · UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oliveira
→
Actual result
Oliveira wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Oliveira at 54% vs Fili at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Fili has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OliveiraFili
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Oliveira
Fili
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+74"
30+
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Oliveira
Fili
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.8
49.7
54.9
Performance Avg
42.8
36
Quality of Victory
37
76
Momentum Score
100
Oliveira
Fili
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
4.1
6.5
Style: Volume
6.2
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
41
Head
14
21
Body
4
16
Leg
0
RangeRange
63Distance17
9Clinch1
6Ground0
Oliveira
Fili
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oliveira
Fili
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/27 fights
Chin rating based on
28/39 fights
Oliveira
Fili
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
100
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Oliveira
Fili
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
36%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oliveira
Fili
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
OliveiraFili
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Attacking
78 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedFili
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
78 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the head (53% of attacks) — Fili absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Fili targets the head (78% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oliveira
RND
Fili
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Oliveira · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Andre FiliKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · Sub · R2
Mario BautistaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
Fili · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Kai Kamaka IIIKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10
L · KO · R2
Vinicius OliveiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Jose DelgadoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Christian RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Melquizael CostaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02