METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith
Moncton, Canada
27 Oct 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
42%
Villante
58%
Herman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Gian VillantewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ed Herman · UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Herman
→
Actual result
Villante wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Villante at 42% vs Herman at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Villante's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Herman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VillanteHerman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Villante
Herman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
+77"
41+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Villante
Herman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
28.4
40.8
Performance Avg
47.4
42
Quality of Victory
44
33
Momentum Score
82
Villante
Herman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.5
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
6.4
4.2
Style: Volume
3.5
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
16
1
Body
3
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
23Distance21
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Villante
Herman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.9
0
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Villante
Herman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/31 fights
Chin rating based on
26/43 fights
Villante
Herman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
82
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Villante
Herman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
69%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
5
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Villante
Herman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
VillanteHerman
Strike Zones
Villante
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedHerman
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Villante targets the head (83% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Herman targets the head (76% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Villante
RND
Herman
0/0R00/0
Villante · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettKO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice GreeneSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
Herman · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldDecision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R3
Mike RodriguezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05