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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan
Las Vegas, USA
10 Oct 2026
Women's Strawweight
VS
47%
Godinez
53%
Souza
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Loopy
Loopy Godinez
14 – 6
5'2"61" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 44
Ketlen
Ketlen Souza
"Esquentadinha"
17 – 6
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'3"
CFR 49
★ Official Result
Loopy GodinezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ketlen Souza · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Souza
Souza by split decision — she takes the first and third with the cleaner, harder…
→
Actual result
Godinez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

One has fought the division's best and lost; the other has beaten everyone she was supposed to. The ratings prefer the second kind of record.

These two records tell opposite stories about the same division. Loopy Godinez has fifteen UFC fights and has shared the cage with Tatiana Suarez, Mackenzie Dern, Virna Jandiroba and Jessica Andrade — the top of women's strawweight, repeatedly. Ketlen Souza has seven, and has spent them beating the fighters put in front of her. The ratings favour Souza, and it is worth being precise about why. He…

Godinez intel

Godinez (14-6) is 1-2 in her last three, submitted by Tatiana Suarez in the second round in April after a decision win over Jessica Andrade in August 2025 — the best win on either sheet here. Fifteen recorded UFC fights and a 7.42 volume score make her the more experienced and busier fighter; a 30.9 quality-of-victory reflects that her best results have come against opposition below the ones who have beaten her.

Souza intel

Souza (16-6) has won her last two, knocking out Ariane Carnelossi in 1:34 in June and outpointing Bruna Brasil in February. Before that she dropped decisions to Piera Rodriguez and Angela Hill. Seven recorded UFC fights, a 0.50 finish rate and a 41.0 quality-of-victory — she has been more efficient than Godinez without facing the same calibre.

Key angles

Godinez's 7.42 volume score, the highest in the fight, against Souza's 5.21 pressure

Quality-of-victory reversed from what the names suggest: 41.0 to Souza, 30.9 to Godinez

Whether Souza's two recent decision losses mean she can be outworked over fifteen minutes

Godinez's grappling edge (3.64 to 3.20) against Souza's higher submission score (2.50)

Souza's 1:34 knockout of Carnelossi — the only real finishing threat on either side

Risk flags

Souza has seven recorded UFC fights against Godinez's fifteen; the composite gap may be sample-size rather than substance

Godinez's three defeats in her last five all came to fighters ranked above Souza, so her form line understates her level

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GodinezSouza
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Godinez
Souza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
+5'3"
61"
Reach
+63"
33
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Godinez
Souza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.2
49.2
43.2
Performance Avg
44.6
30
Quality of Victory
41
49
Momentum Score
53
Godinez
Souza
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
5.0
7.7
Style: Volume
5.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
11
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance7
0Clinch5
1Ground0
Godinez
Souza
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Godinez
Souza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
82
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/20 fights
Chin rating based on
8/23 fights
Godinez
Souza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
53
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Godinez
Souza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Godinez
Souza
Striking1.3 / 3.5Volume7.7 / 5.0Grappling3.5 / 3.2Wrestling2.5 / 2.2Submission2.0 / 2.5Pressure3.3 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Godinez
Strike Zones
Souza
Godinez
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Souza
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Godinez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Souza targets the head (92% of attacks) — Godinez absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Godinez
RND
Souza
0/0R00/0

Godinez · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Ketlen Souza
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10
L · Sub · R2
Tatiana Suarez
Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Jessica Andrade
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Julia Polastri
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Mackenzie Dern
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

Souza · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Loopy Godinez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10
W · KO · R1
Ariane Carnelossi
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Bruna Brasil
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Piera Rodriguez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Angela Hill
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02

News & Media

Loopy Godinez · Ketlen Souza
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