METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Featherweight
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2023
Featherweight
VS
52%
Volkanovski
48%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:19
CFR 66
★ Official Result
Alexander VolkanovskiwinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:19
def. Yair Rodriguez · UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Volkanovski
→
Actual result
Volkanovski wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Volkanovski at 52% vs Rodriguez at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Volkanovski's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rodriguez has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VolkanovskiRodriguez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Volkanovski
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
71"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Volkanovski
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.9
59.7
62.2
Performance Avg
60.2
48
Quality of Victory
51
100
Momentum Score
100
Volkanovski
Rodriguez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.4
/ 10
5.1
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
5.4
6.7
Style: Volume
5.8
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
8
3
Body
5
10
Leg
10
RangeRange
19Distance23
3Clinch0
15Ground0
Volkanovski
Rodriguez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.9
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Volkanovski
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
62
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/32 fights
Chin rating based on
16/27 fights
Volkanovski
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Volkanovski
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
46%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Volkanovski
Rodriguez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
VolkanovskiRodriguez
Strike Zones
Volkanovski
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedRodriguez
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Volkanovski targets the head (65% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the legs (43% of attacks) — Volkanovski absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Volkanovski
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0
Volkanovski · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Movsar EvloevKO/TKO
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesDecision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevKO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
Rodriguez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Sub · R3
Brian OrtegaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R3
Alexander VolkanovskiKO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Sub · R2
Josh EmmettSubmission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · KO · R1
Brian OrtegaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07