METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
Anaheim, USA
29 Jul 2017
Featherweight
VS
55%
Ortega
45%
Moicano
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:59
Brian
Brian Ortega
"T-City"
16 – 5
5'8"69" reachSwitch35 yrs2-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 62
Renato
Renato Moicano
21 – 7
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 50
★ Official Result
Brian OrtegawinsSubmissionR3 · 2:59
def. Renato Moicano · UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ortega
→
Actual result
Ortega wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Ortega at 55% vs Moicano at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Moicano has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
OrtegaMoicano
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ortega
Moicano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+72"
35+
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Ortega
Moicano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.1
50.3
53.7
Performance Avg
51.7
48
Quality of Victory
43
80
Momentum Score
64
Ortega
Moicano
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
6.3
2.2
Style: Volume
3.8
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
20
3
Body
2
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
18Distance26
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Ortega
Moicano
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.5
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.4
4
Submission wins
7
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ortega
Moicano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
6
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
21/28 fights
Ortega
Moicano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
64
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · R2
Ortega
Moicano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
62%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
7
1
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ortega
Moicano
Striking5.0 / 2.1Volume2.2 / 3.8Grappling4.3 / 5.0Wrestling3.0 / 3.5Submission5.0 / 5.4Pressure8.0 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.4
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
Ortega
Strike Zones
Moicano
Ortega
Attacking
15HEAD3BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD2BODY4LEGS26 absorbed
Moicano
Attacking
20HEAD2BODY4LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD3BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ortega targets the head (83% of attacks) — Moicano absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Moicano targets the head (77% of attacks) — Ortega absorbs 77% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ortega
RND
Moicano
0/0R00/0

Ortega · Last 5

Upcoming
Dan Hooker
UFC Fight Night: Prochazka vs. Stirling · 2026-11
L · Dec · R5
Aljamain Sterling
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Diego Lopes
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Sub · R3
Yair Rodriguez
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Yair Rodriguez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07

Moicano · Last 5

Upcoming
Tom Nolan
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · 2026-10
W · Sub · R2
Chris Duncan
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Beneil Dariush
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Sub · R1
Islam Makhachev
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · R2
Benoit Saint Denis
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

News & Media

Brian Ortega · Renato Moicano
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