METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
12 Mar 2022
Lightweight
VS
48%
Dober
52%
McKinney
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 Β· 3:17
Drew
Drew Dober
29 – 15
5'8"70" reachSouthpaw38 yrs2-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 60
Terrance
Terrance McKinney
"T. Wrecks"
18 – 9
Knockout Artist32 yrsSwitch73" reach5'10"
CFR 64
β˜… Official Result
Drew DoberwinsKO/TKOR1 Β· 3:17
def. Terrance McKinney Β· UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McKinney
β†’
Actual result
Dober wins
KO/TKO Β· R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Dober at 48% vs McKinney at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Dober's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

McKinney has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
DoberMcKinney
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Dober
McKinney
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+73"
38
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Dober
McKinney
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.9
63.9
53.2
Performance Avg
57.5
50
Quality of Victory
58
100
Momentum Score
98
Dober
McKinney
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
8.5
/ 10
7.4
/ 10
7.3
Style: Pressure
8.7
2.8
Style: Volume
1.1
11 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
33
2
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance15
2Clinch5
9Ground16
Dober
McKinney
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dober
McKinney
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
4
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
28/44 fights
Chin rating based on
15/27 fights
Dober
McKinney
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
100
98
2-fight πŸ”₯ win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W Β· KO Β· R2
W Β· KO Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Sub Β· R1
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Dober
McKinney
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
100%
11
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dober
McKinney
Striking8.5 / 7.4Volume2.8 / 1.1Grappling1.0 / 3.0Wrestling0.7 / 2.1Submission0.7 / 3.8Pressure7.3 / 8.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.4
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.7
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.1
Dober
Strike Zones
McKinney
Dober
Attacking
14HEAD2BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
33HEAD3BODY0LEGS36 absorbed
McKinney
Attacking
33HEAD3BODY0LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD2BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dober targets the head (82% of attacks) β€” McKinney absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯McKinney targets the head (92% of attacks) β€” Dober absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Dober
RND
McKinney
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Dober Β· Last 5

Upcoming
Chris Duncan
UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit Β· 2026-11
W Β· KO Β· R2
Michael Johnson
KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Β· 2026-03
W Β· KO Β· R3
Kyle Prepolec
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen Β· 2025-10
L Β· KO Β· R1
Manuel Torres
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg Β· 2025-03
L Β· R3
Jean Silva
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez Β· 2024-07

McKinney Β· Last 5

Upcoming
Jim Miller
UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit Β· 2026-11
L Β· KO Β· R1
King Green
KO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 Β· 2026-07
W Β· KO Β· R1
Kyle Nelson
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer Β· 2026-03
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Chris Duncan
Submission
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 Β· 2025-12
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Viacheslav Borshchev
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira Β· 2025-06

News & Media

Drew Dober Β· Terrance McKinney
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