METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
Las Vegas, USA
5 Mar 2022
Welterweight
VS
61%
Holland
39%
Oliveira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:38
★ Official Result
Kevin HollandwinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:38
def. Alex Oliveira · UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holland
→
Actual result
Holland wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Holland holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Oliveira has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Holland's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HollandOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holland
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
81"+
Reach
76"
33+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holland
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.0
29.9
49.3
Performance Avg
46.5
44
Quality of Victory
43
51
Momentum Score
100
Holland
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
4.7
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
6.0
3.6
Style: Volume
4.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
0
0
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
15Ground0
Holland
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
6
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holland
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/44 fights
Chin rating based on
22/34 fights
Holland
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
100
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Holland
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
64%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
6
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holland
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
HollandOliveira
Strike Zones
Holland
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holland targets the head (89% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the body (50% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holland
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Holland · Last 5
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