METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
25 Oct 2014
Featherweight
VS
26%
Arantes
74%
Fili
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Andre FiliwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Felipe Arantes · UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fili
→
Actual result
Fili wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Fili is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Arantes's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Fili has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ArantesFili
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Arantes
Fili
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
73"
Reach
+74"
38
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arantes
Fili
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
49.7
43.8
Performance Avg
42.8
43
Quality of Victory
37
64
Momentum Score
100
Arantes
Fili
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
4.1
4.1
Style: Volume
6.2
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
5
0
Body
5
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance3
0Clinch3
4Ground5
Arantes
Fili
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arantes
Fili
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/28 fights
Chin rating based on
28/39 fights
Arantes
Fili
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Arantes
Fili
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
36%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arantes
Fili
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
ArantesFili
Strike Zones
Arantes
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedFili
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arantes targets the head (88% of attacks) — Fili absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Fili targets the head (45% of attacks) — Arantes absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arantes
RND
Fili
0/0R00/0
Arantes · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Song YadongKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Josh EmmettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
Erik PerezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · Sub · R2
Jerrod SandersSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Sub · R1
Yves JabouinSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
Fili · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Kai Kamaka IIIKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10
L · KO · R2
Vinicius OliveiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Jose DelgadoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Christian RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Melquizael CostaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02