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Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
A heavyweight on a five-fight losing run with a chin rating of zero meets a 213cm-reach knockout artist who has not competed in nearly two years.
Tai Tuivasa's chin rating is 0.0. That figure is not an insult to a fighter who was once one of the most entertaining heavyweights in the sport — it is the model registering five consecutive defeats, two of them submissions inside two rounds and three of them full-distance beatings, and concluding that the margin is gone. The losing run is worth listing because the shape of it matters. Louie Suth…
Tuivasa (15-10) has lost five in a row — decisions to Louie Sutherland, Tallison Teixeira and Jairzinho Rozenstruik, and submissions to Marcin Tybura and Alexander Volkov. His 0.0 chin rating is the lowest on the card and his momentum has sunk to 19.5, though a 54.4 quality-of-victory and 9.64 striking score mark what he used to be.
Despaigne (5-2) is 1-2 in three recorded UFC fights: an 18-second knockout of Josh Parisian, then decision losses to Waldo Cortes Acosta and Austen Lane. He has not been recorded competing since October 2024. At 200.7cm with 213.4cm of reach he is the largest man on the card.
Twenty-three centimetres of reach — the widest physical gap on the card
A 0.0 chin rating against a 10.0 striking score
Despaigne's 0.67 volume: he has never won a fight that got past round one
Nearly two years of recorded inactivity for Despaigne
Despaigne's 60.0 quality-of-victory actually leads Tuivasa's 54.4, on three recorded fights against eighteen
Tuivasa's 9.64 striking and 0.88 finish rate mean one clean left hand inside the reach ends it
Despaigne has twice been outpointed over three rounds; if this reaches the judges his 0.67 volume is a liability
This Fight — Statistics
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown