METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
Las Vegas, USA
2 Mar 2024
Middleweight
VS
63%
Duncan
37%
Ribeiro
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:57
Christian
Christian Leroy Duncan
"CLD"
15 – 2
6'2"79" reachSwitch31 yrsStriker
CFR 60
Claudio
Claudio Ribeiro
11 – 5
Knockout Artist2-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 36
★ Official Result
Christian Leroy DuncanwinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:57
def. Claudio Ribeiro · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Duncan
→
Actual result
Duncan wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Duncan holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Ribeiro has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ribeiro has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Risk flags

Ribeiro has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
DuncanRibeiro
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Duncan
Ribeiro
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
77"
31+
Age
34
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Duncan
Ribeiro
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.5
35.7
56.1
Performance Avg
43.0
45
Quality of Victory
55
66
Momentum Score
43
Duncan
Ribeiro
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.7
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.6
Style: Pressure
7.8
4.5
Style: Volume
0.5
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
22Ground0
Duncan
Ribeiro
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Duncan
Ribeiro
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
34
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/17 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Duncan
Ribeiro
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Duncan
Ribeiro
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Duncan
Ribeiro
Striking7.7 / 10.0Volume4.5 / 0.5Grappling0.9 / 0.0Wrestling0.6 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.6 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Duncan
Strike Zones
Ribeiro
Duncan
Attacking
23HEAD0BODY1LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Ribeiro
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD0BODY1LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Duncan targets the head (96% of attacks) — Ribeiro absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Ribeiro targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Duncan absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Duncan
RND
Ribeiro
0/0R00/0

Duncan · Last 5

L · Sub · R5
Brendan Allen
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10
W · Dec · R3
Jared Cannonier
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Roman Dolidze
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Marco Tulio
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Eryk Anders
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08

Ribeiro · Last 4

L · KO · R2
Christian Leroy Duncan
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Roman Kopylov
KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · KO · R2
Joseph Holmes
KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
L · KO · R2
Abdul Razak Alhassan
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01

News & Media

Christian Leroy Duncan · Claudio Ribeiro
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