METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
6 Oct 2018
Heavyweight
VS
50%
Lewis
50%
Volkov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:49
★ Official Result
Derrick LewiswinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:49
def. Alexander Volkov · UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lewis
→
Actual result
Lewis wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Lewis at 50% vs Volkov at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lewis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Lewis's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Volkov has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LewisVolkov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lewis
Volkov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'7"
79"
Reach
+80"
41
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lewis
Volkov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.7
59.8
56.6
Performance Avg
54.6
53
Quality of Victory
41
84
Momentum Score
88
Lewis
Volkov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.3
/ 10
5.5
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
5.5
2.9
Style: Volume
5.8
16 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
24
5
Body
9
0
Leg
8
RangeRange
10Distance36
0Clinch4
8Ground1
Lewis
Volkov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lewis
Volkov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
9
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
15 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/42 fights
Chin rating based on
20/51 fights
Lewis
Volkov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
88
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Lewis
Volkov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
47%
16
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lewis
Volkov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
LewisVolkov
Strike Zones
Lewis
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedVolkov
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lewis targets the head (72% of attacks) — Volkov absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Volkov targets the head (59% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lewis
RND
Volkov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lewis · Last 5
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